Posts for SurlyTrader


Increasing Trading Frictions Increases Market Liquidity?

From SurlyTrader
December 28, 2011 at 11:25 pm
With market volatility that has only been witnessed during the Great Depression, it seems that we should all be asking some questions. Is the volatility necessary? Are ... (more)

“Doomsday View of 2012″

From SurlyTrader
December 27, 2011 at 11:46 pm
Just when you thought you have read the most negative articles and predictions possible, you stumble across a whole other level of negativity.  James Petras, a ... (more)

Noteworthy News – December 27, 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 26, 2011 at 9:45 pm
Economy: Economic growth expected for winter – MarketWatch The Year In 4 Charts – NPR Economic predictions for 2012: Bank of America and the other ... (more)

Dropping VIX for Year-End Window Dressing?

From SurlyTrader
December 21, 2011 at 10:24 pm
Most of the time I consider myself a pretty optimistic guy, but sometimes you cannot put on the rose colored glasses because it just does not feel right.  I ... (more)

Noteworthy News – December 19, 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 18, 2011 at 7:16 pm
Economy: Are we at the beginning of a 25-year recession? – The Week A Financial Crisis Needn’t Be a Noose – New York Times Snap analysis: Fed ... (more)

The Great Divide

From SurlyTrader
December 15, 2011 at 9:59 pm
The media has played a tremendous part in describing the rich versus poor in the United States or the 99% versus the 1%.  There is a great truth to the fact ... (more)

What is the New Normal for Volatility?

From SurlyTrader
December 14, 2011 at 11:20 pm
The 5 year implied volatility on the S&P 500 is currently 29%.  The math to take an annual standard deviation or volatility metric and convert it to a daily ... (more)

Top Economic Graphs of 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 13, 2011 at 11:22 pm
The BBC released a series of graphs from the top economists that highlight and summarize 2011 from a visual standpoint.  My personal favorite shows the interest ... (more)

Is the Fear Subsiding?

From SurlyTrader
December 12, 2011 at 7:03 pm
With the equity markets down over 2% intra-day as the participants realized Friday’s European Summit did not provide a silver bullet to the Eurozone problems, ... (more)

Noteworthy News – December 12, 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 11, 2011 at 9:30 pm
Economy: U.S. Universities Feast on Federal Student Aid – Bloomberg India Overstated Exports by $9 Billion - Bloomberg Household Wealth in U.S. Falls ... (more)

Will the Dollar Ruin the Santa Claus Rally in the S&P 500?

From SurlyTrader
December 10, 2011 at 8:56 pm
Guest Post from JW Jones at OptionsTradingSignals   Experienced traders recognize that volume typically dries up going into the holiday season. Light volume ... (more)

Protecting Your Equities

From SurlyTrader
December 8, 2011 at 8:16 pm
With all of the volatility that has recently transpired, you wonder why you own any stocks at all.  If you are an equity investor and about to throw in the ... (more)

Santa Claus Rally?

From SurlyTrader
December 6, 2011 at 8:58 pm
Seasonality seems to be a hot topic to talk about in the investment media.  Retail investors like to hear about relationships between months, seasons, political ... (more)

European Debt Crisis

From SurlyTrader
December 5, 2011 at 5:45 pm
All of the Clarke and Dawe interviews are quite hilarious, but this one kind of sums up the current economic issues: “How can broke economies lend money ... (more)

Noteworthy News – December 5, 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 4, 2011 at 9:56 pm
Economy: Looking At Unemployment By Age, Education And Duration - NPR Young workers getting hired again – CNN Money Jobless rate falls to over 2-year low ... (more)

The Employment Picture

From SurlyTrader
December 3, 2011 at 7:37 am
We can talk about the difference between underemployed versus unemployed, how many people are looking for jobs or have given up, how long the unemployed remain ... (more)

The Currency War Big Picture Analysis for Gold, Silver & Stocks

From SurlyTrader
December 1, 2011 at 10:59 pm
Guest Post from Chris Vermeulen at TheGoldandOilGuy.com I think you will admit that we are in the middle of one major crazy financial mess.  The part that makes ... (more)

The Morgan Stanley Bailout

From SurlyTrader
November 28, 2011 at 11:47 pm
During the financial crisis it really baffled me why some firms were bailed out and others were allowed to thrive.  Bear Stearns – sold for pocket change ... (more)

Noteworthy News – November 28, 2011

From SurlyTrader
November 28, 2011 at 3:36 pm
Economy: Can the Jobs-and-Income Crisis End Well? : Some economists believe that today’s grinding unemployment and slow growth are masking the transition ... (more)

Happy Thanksgiving

From SurlyTrader
November 24, 2011 at 12:51 pm
For a little bit of history, learn that the Thanksgiving we know came about in 1941 as a boost to the economy: From the book of knowledge (wikipedia): Thanksgiving ... (more)

Historic Skew

From SurlyTrader
November 22, 2011 at 10:47 pm
Despite the fact that short term implied volatility has declined, longer term implied volatility has continued to hover at extreme levels.  Five year implied ... (more)

Headline Risk Surrounds Gold & the S&P 500

From SurlyTrader
November 21, 2011 at 9:41 pm
  Guest Post by JW Jones at OptionTradingSignals.com The current trading environment is one of the most difficult that I can recall in recent memory. Risks ... (more)

Noteworthy News – November 21, 2011

From SurlyTrader
November 20, 2011 at 7:13 pm
Economy: U.S. Birth Rates Hit Record Lows: Is It the Economy? – Time How the top 1 percent made its money in two charts - Washington Post 7 Charts That ... (more)

Inflation: Japan Vs. United States

From SurlyTrader
November 16, 2011 at 8:29 pm
There is a constant comparison between the United States today and Japan post their 1990 asset bubble.   In fact, you will often find a comparison between ... (more)

Inflation: Good or Bad?

From SurlyTrader
November 15, 2011 at 10:08 pm
Tomorrow the bureau of labor will report October CPI.  Economists expect the headline to be unchanged, but that core CPI, excluding food and energy, will be ... (more)