Posts for SurlyTrader


Short-Term Euphoria, Long-Term Pessimism

From SurlyTrader
January 25, 2012 at 8:21 pm
The implied volatility surface can truly hold a bit of investor sentiment that not many pay a lot of attention to.  In the last few months, we have witnessed ... (more)

Where Jobs are Gained and Lost

From SurlyTrader
January 24, 2012 at 11:30 pm
Nice infographic from Crisp360 showing where the United States is losing jobs and where it is creating jobs Related posts:Visualized Jobs Situation Jobs – ... (more)

Growing Disconnect

From SurlyTrader
January 23, 2012 at 10:09 pm
It seems challenging to interpret the continued discrepancy between the current level of US interest rates along with the current levels of risky assets. ... (more)

Noteworthy News – January 23, 2012

From SurlyTrader
January 22, 2012 at 9:22 pm
Economy: How the U.S. Lost Out on iPhone Work – New York Times 3 Huge Recent Economic Developments You May Have Missed – Motley Fool What the Top ... (more)

The Fall of Detroit

From SurlyTrader
January 17, 2012 at 9:41 pm
The most recent census showed that in the decade from 2000 to 2010 Detroit lost an astonishing 25% of its population.  This makes Detroit the 18th largest ... (more)

Gold Trend Forecast for 1st Quarter 2012

From SurlyTrader
January 16, 2012 at 9:24 pm
  Guest Post from Chris Vermeulen at TheGoldandOilGuy.com Over the past five months gold has fallen sharply and is no longer headline news which it once ... (more)

Noteworthy News – January 16, 2012

From SurlyTrader
January 15, 2012 at 10:34 pm
Economy: 5% of Americans Made Up 50% of U.S. Health Care Spending – The Atlantic Things We’re Supposed To Be Quiet About – New York Times (Krugman) Many ... (more)

Skyscrapers Predict Financial Crises

From SurlyTrader
January 11, 2012 at 9:15 pm
It always amuses me that there are many examples of large companies falling from grace shortly after they put their company logo on a sports stadium.  Many ... (more)

Could Oil Prices Intensify a Pending S&P 500 Selloff?

From SurlyTrader
January 10, 2012 at 11:34 pm
Guest Post from JW Jones from OptionsTradingSignals.com Last week we received reports that the unemployment rate in the United States was improving markedly. ... (more)

How Long till the Music Stops?

From SurlyTrader
January 9, 2012 at 11:38 pm
The Euro can drop, but the S&P marches on.  I can talk about divergences between markets that have been strongly correlated over the last year, but how ... (more)

Noteworthy News – January 9, 2012

From SurlyTrader
January 8, 2012 at 11:59 pm
Economy: The Myth of Japan’s Failure – New York Times The zero lower bound in our minds - Economist We Added 1.6 Million Jobs in 2011— Where Did They ... (more)

Conspiracy Theory Rock

From SurlyTrader
January 5, 2012 at 9:10 pm
Enjoy a Saturday Night Live TV Funhouse cartoon titled “Media-opoly” that was banned right after it was first aired.  It seems even more fitting ... (more)

Markets Diverging

From SurlyTrader
January 4, 2012 at 7:59 pm
There are certain times when the markets just seem to disconnect.  Right now that disconnect is between the US dollar, US interest rates and US equities. ... (more)

Fun Facts About Iowa

From SurlyTrader
January 3, 2012 at 10:32 pm
With the Iowa Caucus grabbing full headlines, maybe it is time for us all to learn a little bit about the land of rolling prairie:   No related posts. ... (more)

Noteworthy News – January 3, 2012

From SurlyTrader
January 2, 2012 at 7:26 pm
Economy: Nobody Understands Debt – New York Times (Krugman) U.S. Growth May Accelerate as Europe Shrinks - Bloomberg World’s Woes Leave Lasting ... (more)

All Eyes on the 200 Day MAVG

From SurlyTrader
December 29, 2011 at 6:24 pm
What a ridiculously precarious place for the market to enter into the New Year.  At a close of 1263.02, the S&P sits just 4 points above the 200 day moving ... (more)

Increasing Trading Frictions Increases Market Liquidity?

From SurlyTrader
December 28, 2011 at 11:25 pm
With market volatility that has only been witnessed during the Great Depression, it seems that we should all be asking some questions. Is the volatility necessary? Are ... (more)

“Doomsday View of 2012″

From SurlyTrader
December 27, 2011 at 11:46 pm
Just when you thought you have read the most negative articles and predictions possible, you stumble across a whole other level of negativity.  James Petras, a ... (more)

Noteworthy News – December 27, 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 26, 2011 at 9:45 pm
Economy: Economic growth expected for winter – MarketWatch The Year In 4 Charts – NPR Economic predictions for 2012: Bank of America and the other ... (more)

Dropping VIX for Year-End Window Dressing?

From SurlyTrader
December 21, 2011 at 10:24 pm
Most of the time I consider myself a pretty optimistic guy, but sometimes you cannot put on the rose colored glasses because it just does not feel right.  I ... (more)

Noteworthy News – December 19, 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 18, 2011 at 7:16 pm
Economy: Are we at the beginning of a 25-year recession? – The Week A Financial Crisis Needn’t Be a Noose – New York Times Snap analysis: Fed ... (more)

The Great Divide

From SurlyTrader
December 15, 2011 at 9:59 pm
The media has played a tremendous part in describing the rich versus poor in the United States or the 99% versus the 1%.  There is a great truth to the fact ... (more)

What is the New Normal for Volatility?

From SurlyTrader
December 14, 2011 at 11:20 pm
The 5 year implied volatility on the S&P 500 is currently 29%.  The math to take an annual standard deviation or volatility metric and convert it to a daily ... (more)

Top Economic Graphs of 2011

From SurlyTrader
December 13, 2011 at 11:22 pm
The BBC released a series of graphs from the top economists that highlight and summarize 2011 from a visual standpoint.  My personal favorite shows the interest ... (more)

Is the Fear Subsiding?

From SurlyTrader
December 12, 2011 at 7:03 pm
With the equity markets down over 2% intra-day as the participants realized Friday’s European Summit did not provide a silver bullet to the Eurozone problems, ... (more)